SCOPE OF THE ASSESSMENT OF RISK IN PRODUCTION AND ECOLOGICAL SAFETY

Abstract

The method of an assessment of risk is an important stage of planning and realization of any economic activity as allows to identify risks and to predict occurrences of damage to various systems of functioning. Formation of base of parametrical characteristics for creation of mathematical model of forecasts of risk of the complex systems which elements are technological, social, economic, etc. components. Use of a method has to provide the safest conditions for realization of production and ecological activity. Information on categories of risks, analysis and assessment methods and as possibilities of use of interpolation and extrapolation for applied tasks on risk estimates were analysed was collected. It is possible to call intermediate results of research a choice of mathematical communications for dynamic forecasting of specific risks and definition of levels for a choice of actions for their elimination. Application of a method of an assessment of risk in production and nature protection activity allows to expect and introduce effective precautionary measures for minimization of probability of emergence of possible risks.